Welcome
to the September 17, 2008 issue
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Panic has set in today, with heavy losses in the
stock markets front and center. After the market
cut its early day losses significantly by 3pm, bargain
hunters were overwhelmed at the close.
Much of selling can be attributed to the Lehman
bankruptcy working it’s way through the markets,
along with a virtual shutdown of bank lending in
the wake of the government’s takeover of AIG.
At the end of the trading day the Dow Jones Industrial
Average was down 449 points (that’s 4.1%) and
the S&P 500 was down by 4.7%. NASDAQ stocks were
down by 4.9%.
Investors are fleeing risk, and confidence is badly
shaken. In addition to the equity markets, another
indicator was the price of gold, which saw a $70
increase today. This was the largest increase in
the price of gold, in percentage terms, in 9 years.
Although it’s hard to consider on a day like
today, it’s important to remember that world
economies are growing. Underneath all the turmoil,
the fundamentals of these economies are solid. And
the Central Banks of these nations will be working
hard to see that growth continues.
Despite the short-term pain, we remind our subscribers
that selling during a time of panic historically
has been ill advised. There is no change in our recommended
allocations.
New Fund Ratings – For domestic stock
funds, three funds are now rated Buy: Russell 2000
Value, S&P 600 SmallCap, and Russell 2000 (all
ETFs). Four funds are now rated Hold: Russell 2000
Growth (ETF), Needham Small Cap Growth, TCW Small
Cap Growth, and Royce Premier. Four funds are now
rated Sell: DWS Large Company Growth S, Vanguard
PRIMECAP, T. Rowe Price New America, and PowerShares
QQQ (ETF). For international stock funds, two funds
are now rated Hold: Janus Global Research and Wintergreen
Fund. One fund is rated Sell: DWS Latin America Equity
S. There are no other changes.
The Stock Market – We are not just
whistling past the graveyard with regard to the equity
markets. The recovery from an event like this week
will take some time – that’s obvious.
But patience will be rewarded, as the values are
too compelling. Despite the battering, equities are
a better buy now that they have been in a long time.
The Bond Market –
The Select Portfolio – There are
no changes this week.
The next Hotline is scheduled for Wednesday, September
24 at 7pm.
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